There are no upcoming events right now.
Why not post one?
Recent Articles
- Measuring the Potential of Biogas to Reduce GHG Emissionsby John Loukidelis and Thomas Cassidy, published November 23, 2020 in Special Report: Climate Change
(0 comments)
- Ontario Squanders Early Pandemic Sacrificeby Ryan McGreal, published November 18, 2020 in Special Report: COVID-19
(0 comments)
- A Rundown of the Lunacy That Is Council's Vendetta Against Cameron Kroetschby Martin Zarate, published October 13, 2020 in Special Report: Council Conduct
(0 comments)
- Councillor Threatens Integrity Commisioner Complaint Against Charity, Private Individualby Ryan McGreal, published October 02, 2020 in Special Report: Council Conduct
(0 comments)
- City Already Published Unredacted Motion Central to IC Reportby Graham Crawford, published October 02, 2020 in Special Report: Council Conduct
(0 comments)
- Councillors, Listening to Angry People is Your Jobby David Harvey, published October 02, 2020 in Special Report: Council Conduct
(0 comments)
- Low Hospitalization Numbers Today Are No Cause for Complacencyby Ryan McGreal, published September 23, 2020 in Special Report: COVID-19
(6 comments)
- Silence is Acceptance for Colleagues of Bullying Councillorsby Ryan McGreal, published September 14, 2020 in Special Report: Council Conduct
(1 comment)
- One Resident's View of Safe-Sizing Aberdeen Avenueby Graham Crawford, published September 09, 2020 in Special Report: Walkable Streets
(0 comments)
- Erin O'Toole's Climate Policy is Insincere and Unseriousby John Loukidelis, published September 08, 2020 in Special Report: Climate Change
(1 comment)
- Predictions of Chaos and Doom for Herkimer, Charlton Bike Lanesby Ryan McGreal, published September 08, 2020 in Special Report: Walkable Streets
(0 comments)
- Wrestling the GHG Emissions Monster to the Ground, One Building at a Timeby John Loukidelis and Thomas Cassidy, published September 08, 2020 in Special Report: Climate Change
(0 comments)
- Answering the Obstructionists: The Case for Traffic Calming on Aberdeenby Ryan McGreal, published September 04, 2020 in Special Report: Walkable Streets
(0 comments)
- After the Spillby Paul Weinberg, published September 02, 2020 in Special Report
(4 comments)
- 'I Cried on The Bus': Local Dance Student Accepted at Juilliardby Kevin Somers, published September 02, 2020 in Entertainment and Sports
(0 comments)
- I Gave My Patient a Tentby Tim O'Shea, published August 07, 2020 in Special Report: COVID-19
(1 comment)
- A Friend's Violent Death: R.I.P. Regan Russellby Anne Bokma, published July 14, 2020 in Anniversary Party
(1 comment)
- Yes, You Should Wear a Face Maskby Michael Nabert, published July 14, 2020 in Special Report: COVID-19
(2 comments)
- July 1 An Opportunity to Reflect on Canada's Unreconciled Genocidal Legacyby Doreen Nicoll, published June 30, 2020 in Healing Gaia
(3 comments)
- Statement on the Termination of the Police Liaison Programby HWDSB Kids Need Help, published June 30, 2020 in Special Report: Anti-Racism
(1 comment)
Article Archives
Blog Archives
Site Tools
Feeds
By Undustrial (registered) - website | Posted August 23, 2011 at 11:25:46 in reply to Comment 68352
Oh Kunstler. If only he could settle down a bit... This definitely deserves a bit of a note about the extremely difficult nature of predicting anything more than a year ahead.
It wasn't long before most of those who were talking about peak oil and weren't just alarmist wingnuts started realizing this would be a lot more complicated than a steady march onward to $500/barrel then a prompt apocalypse. Ryan's comment below is a good example - high oil prices rely on a strong economy, which relies on low oil prices. So rather than a constant and predictable fall, we're far more likely to see prices lurching wildly. Beneath all of this will be the trends we're talking about.
"Peak oil" describes a fairly abstract concept - the point at which oil production begins to fall as scarcity and increasing energy requirements overtake our ability to continue raising production. There's nothing "neat" about it - areas peak at different times, and a global peak might never be totally definable down to the day. That day isn't what's important though, it's the falling EROI (Energy Return on Investment) which we need to consider.
"Today, the notion of progress in a single line without goal or limit seems perhaps the most parochial notion of a very parochial century." — Lewis Mumford
Permalink | Context