Comment 90896

By Noted (anonymous) | Posted August 14, 2013 at 12:21:51

Kyle Rowe's bigger take-away at Seattle Transit Blog was that there was, on balance, no negative impact on retail's bottom-line in conversion zones.

NE 65th Street was the second case studied by Rowe. The first, the Greenwood neighbourhood, trends closer to the status quo:

Rowe writes:

"Looking at the data, one conclusion can clearly be made, these bicycle projects did not have a negative impact on the business districts in both case studies. This conclusion can be made because in both case studies the business district at the project site performed similarly or better than the controls. You may be thinking, “why can’t we conclude that NE 65th St benefited from the bicycle facility?” This is where retail sales data presents a barrier in analyzing street improvements.

Even though the business district at 65th & Latona experienced a 400% increase in sales index after the project was finished, we cannot assume that this economic success was solely because of bicyclists. One could argue that the economic success likely wasn’t the product of motorists since their access was theoretically reduced, but without mode-split data before and after the project no conclusions can be made to assume which mode was most responsible for the economic change."

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