Comment 34942

By A Smith (anonymous) | Posted October 25, 2009 at 16:27:29

JonC >> climate change models aren't predictive of year to year calculations. They are long term as the literature written about them makes abundantly clear.

Climate scientists should take things slow. Build climate models that CAN predict what the climate will be like 1-5 years out and then as these models prove their worth, extend them outward. That's how the real world works, people are give small jobs and as they prove their worth, they are given more responsibility. In the case of global warming scientists, they want to be given credit for predicting things which they have no track record of predicting.

I am not willing to give them the benefit of the doubt, especially since politicians are their primary cheerleaders.

>> you don't actually care about climate change

That's your problem, you have too much invested in this theory to be objective.

>> I begin to suspect...The key point to understand being that the only variable people have any deal of control over in the model is GHG emissions.

Everything you said means nothing unless climate models can make accurate predictions. Not projections, but verifiable predictions.

Bottom line: If climate models can't predict, they should not be trusted.

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